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The Thunder are off to a good start to the season at 12-4. They broke a two-game losing streak in their last game, which was their first with center Isaiah Hartenstein. The idea was to play him with big man Chet Holmgren, but he’s still out with a hip injury, as is backup big Jaylin Williams, so the Thunder are a little thin up front. But despite dealing with injuries, the Thunder’s defense hasn’t suffered. They rank 2nd in the NBA in points allowed.

I was excited about the Kings early in the season, but they have lost 3 in a row and 4 of 5 and have fallen below .500. Point guard De’Aaron Fox has had some big games, but sometimes that’s not enough. The key to their disappointment is terrible three-point shooting – they rank 26th in the league. They play with speed, so they always land a lot of shots. Last year they were in the middle of the pack and that’s where they need to be to win.

Due to Sacramento’s disappointments, the spread record is 6-10-1. Betting against them as home underdogs has also proven profitable as they are 0-2 in this situation. I want to help them buck that early trend, but it’s difficult against OKC. The Thunder have the firepower to play at any pace, and Hartenstein gives them a blast to neutralize center back Domantas Sabonis. That’s why I’m picking Oklahoma City to cover the spread tonight.

Thunder vs. Kings Prediction: Oklahoma City -4.5 (-110), available at time of publication. Playable under this number.

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