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Liberty Flames (8-2) vs. Sam Houston State Bearkats (8-3)
November 29, 2024, 3:30 p.m. EDT
The Line: Sam Houston State Bearkats +3.5; Over/Under: 47.5
(Get the latest betting odds)

In this article, we formulate a Sam Hosuton State vs. Liberty prediction for this Week 14 college football game on Friday, November 29th at Bowers Stadium.

Liberty just keeps winning

Liberty comes into this game with an overall record of 8-2 and picked up another win in their last game. Liberty scored 38 points while the defense conceded 21 points and that was enough for the 17-point win. The defense was good and they had three interceptions. Quarterback Kaidon Slater was a bit inconsistent at times, completing 6 of his 11 passes for 108 yards, one touchdown and no interceptions. Quinton Cooley had a strong finish to the game with 24 carries for 166 yards and two touchdowns.

Liberty averages 32 points while their defense gives up 23.6 points per game. The offense ranks 39th while the defense ranks 59th. In this game, Liberyt will need a big game from Slater.

Sam Houston State struggled

Sam Houston struggled in the last game against Jacksonville State and the offense was a big reason why. Sam Houston State scored just 11 points and ended up losing by 10 points. Quarterback Hunter Watson wasn’t good enough, completing 13 of his 25 passes for 84 yards. He had a strong game on the ground, although he did rush 21 times for 105 yards and a touchdown. Sam Houston State is averaging 23.5 points while the Heir defense is giving up 20.2 points per game. The offense ranks 101st in the league while the defense ranks 23rd in the league. In this game, Sam Houston State will need the offense to get off to a fast start.

Why Sam Houston State Will Defeat Freedom

  • Sam Houston State has won five of its last six games against non-AP ranked teams at Bowers Stadium.
  • Liberty has failed to even out the spread in four of its last five road games against teams not in the AP rankings.
  • The underdog has covered the spread in six of Sam Houston State’s last eight games at Bowers Stadium.

Sam Houston State vs Liberty Prediction

Sam Houston State’s defense will step up significantly and that will be the difference here. The Bearkats are giving up 20.2 points per game and will take a big step forward again. However, Sam Houston State will suffer another bad quarterback game and that will be the difference here. In this game it will be difficult to reach 70 points here. Support the Under to make money here.

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