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The Navy Midshipmen were undefeated and ranked in action around the world. The Middies posted tremendous offensive numbers early in the season against the likes of Memphis, Temple, UAB and Charlotte, etc. Of course, two of those teams have since fired their coach, and things don’t look as impressive as they once did. Notre Dame brought Navy back to reality with a 51-14 win on Oct. 26, and the Middies haven’t been the same since. They have lost three of their last four games and have scored 14 or fewer points in those three setbacks. Even in the span of four games, it’s just 1-3 ATS, and the Under has cashed three straight times – although I certainly wouldn’t want to say that against the East Carolina Pirates.

The Pirates are another team that changed coaches mid-game, but things are working out for them. After the loss to Army on October 19th, they walked Mike Houston and fired him after a 3-4 start. They turned the reins over to defensive coordinator Blake Harrell, and who knew the DC knew about offense?!?! It also helps that the schedule includes non-bowl teams Temple, FAU, Tulsa and North Texas, but Harrell’s team has scored 38 or more points in every game and is 4-1 ATS in its last five games. There are still some holes in the defense, allowing 28 or more points in three of the last four, but ECU has just scored more points. It should be able to sink the Navy at Rowdy-Dowdy in a fascinating game.

Navy vs. East Carolina Prediction: East Carolina +1 (-110) available at time of publication. Playable to -2.5.

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