Chiefs-Raiders NFL predictions for Week 12 from Arrowhead Pride

Before the Kansas City Chiefs‘ Week 12 game against the Carolina Panthersthe predictions from our group of Arrowhead Pride contributors On average, Kansas City won 29:15. That had 24 points of error compared to the 30-27 final: It missed the score by 11 points, missed the Chiefs’ score by one point and missed the Panthers’ score by 12 points. Half of our panel mistakenly believed the game would be a blowout for Kansas City. Our readers were a little less confident. Half of our readers expected the Chiefs to win easily.

In Week 13, the Chiefs face the Las Vegas Raiders at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium. Accordingly FanDuel Sports Betting, Kansas City is ahead by 12.5 points.

Let’s see what the staff – and our readers – think of the match.

Nate Christensen (@natech32)

I think there will be people who predict this game will be close, but I don’t believe it. It’s a short week for both teams, it’s going to be cold and the Raiders are bringing in new starting quarterback Aidan O’Connell. As strange as the Chiefs’ last few games have been, I think this will be a good rebound for both sides of the ball. I expect Kansas City’s pass rush to look better – and I think the offense can move the ball against the Las Vegas defense. It’s been a while since the Chiefs played at home. I think this will serve them well.

Chiefs 30, Raiders 9

This is another game where some people are expecting a big win from Kansas City. That’s entirely possible because the Raiders have a lot of problems right now. But I think we’ll see the same thing we saw against the Panthers: a matchup where the Chiefs take an early lead and hold it throughout the game – and then Las Vegas will score a clean sheet that closes the game makes it appear that it really was.

Chiefs 27, Raiders 20

Division games are typically hard-fought and hard-fought. Still, this feels like the week the Chiefs finally put it all together. After securing a much narrower win than it should have against the Panthers, the players made it clear they were not happy with their performance. Expect a strong reaction as the team looks to make a statement against a Raiders team that has struggled all season. This time, Kansas City should dominate in all phases and come away with a convincing win.

Chiefs 27, Raiders 13

It’s a dangerous feeling – similar to the one before last year’s Christmas game against Las Vegas. The holiday game against a lower division rival felt like the right time. The disappointing result from last year’s game must stick with this Chiefs team. In this match, the entire group must smell blood in the water. Meanwhile, Gardner Minshew, the Raiders’ starting quarterback, is out for the season. A quarterback change on a short holiday week should be an opportunity for Kansas City’s defense to dominate. I think that this unit will again manage to suffocate the opponent, paving the way to a tough victory.

Chiefs 23, Raiders 10

This is the time of year when the Chiefs usually decide to get ahead of their competition and win every game by six points or less. But not today, Satan! Bleep the Raiders, Bleep Tom Brady and Bleep Aiden O’Connell’s terrible excuse for a trash fever! After just one game, I can’t believe Patrick Mahomes has forgotten the Raiders’ Kermit Frog puppet – or his team’s embarrassing loss to Las Vegas last Christmas. This is not a game the Chiefs will look past. It’s a game that will make their mouths water. It’s Thanksgiving — and this year, I’m thankful that when the dust settles, the Chiefs will be feasting on a W like they were stolen crab legs from Jameis Winston’s house.

Chiefs 45, Raiders 3

Division games are strange. Midweek games are strange. I’m predicting another narrower-than-expected win for the Chiefs, which feels more like a defeat due to the high expectations. I see Kansas City trying to minimize Maxx Crosby’s impact with a run-heavy approach behind a returning Isiah Pacheco and Kareem Hunt. I think the defense will play better in Carolina than it did a week ago, but the Raiders will take advantage of the lack of recent film on quarterback Aidan O’Connell to improvise a few big plays. Like the last time these teams met, don’t be surprised if a late goal makes the game seem closer than it actually was.

Chiefs 24, Raiders 17

Even though it’s no longer undefeated, this Kansas City team is still the best in the NFL. Patrick Mahomes has proven he can be the difference between winning and losing in close games. His offense appears to be getting back on track – and will soon receive another injection of talent as Isiah Pacheco, Charles Omenihu, Hollywood Brown and DJ Humphries join the chat. But unfortunately, that probably won’t happen before this game – a game in which the Chiefs will have to fully focus on getting a win. They will face a lower division opponent with a backup quarterback on vacation – with a chance to secure a playoff invitation. Situations like this can leave a team like Kansas City vulnerable to an upset. I don’t think the Raiders can do it this time. Watch Xavier Worthy’s continued development – and the return of successful pressure from Steve Spagnuolo’s defense.

Chiefs 33, Raiders 17

I can’t imagine a scenario where returning quarterback Aidan O’Connell keeps this game close. On the other hand, the Raiders needed just 62 yards from O’Connell to win last year’s Christmas Day slopfest at Arrowhead Stadium. So I’ll go with this, even though it’s gotten insane now: I think the Chiefs beat the lowly Raiders convincingly. Against one of the worst pass defenses in the league, Patrick Mahomes made a statement with 300 yards and two touchdowns. Running back Isiah Pacheco scores on his return.

Chiefs 30, Raiders 9

Based on their predictions, our panelists expect the Chiefs to win 30-12.

What do you think?

In Week 13, AP contributor Matt Stagner gave the Chiefs-Panthers top pick. His prediction for a 28-20 Kansas City win had an error of 14 points. John Dixon’s demand for a 31-20 win was missed by a total of 16 points. Two other contributors made predictions with an error of 20 points.

To calculate the error points of a prediction, the differences between the prediction and the actual score in terms of the points spread, the home team’s score and the away team’s score are added together. For example, one prediction calls for a 17:10 victory for the Chiefs. In the end they won 16-10, so there were two points of error: the score was off by one point, Kansas City’s score was off by one point and the opponent’s score was correctly predicted. But if the Chiefs lose the game 17-10, there was a 28-point error in the prediction: the point spread was by 14 (the difference between +7 and -7) and both scores missed by 7.